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A project manager realizes the team undertaking the project work has fallen behind the planned schedule. The risk manager identifies a new risk resulting from this delay and will need to understand how this will affect the project deadline. Which kind of numerical analysis should be performed to understand the worst-case scenarios?
Correct Answer: C
sensitivity analysis is a technique that helps to determine which risks have the most potential impact on the project. It examines the extent to which the uncertainty of each project element affects the objective being examined when all other uncertain elements are held at their baseline values. Sensitivity analysis is often used to assess the risk exposure of the projectschedule and cost, and to identify the critical risks that need to be managed. In this case, the risk manager needs to understand how the new risk resulting from the delay will affect the project deadline, which is the objective being examined. By performing sensitivity analysis, the risk manager can compare the relative importance and interaction of the new risk with other existing risks, and determine the worst-case scenarios for the project completion date. Sensitivity analysis can also help to prioritize risks for response planning and to develop contingency reserves. This is part of the Perform Quantitative Risk Analysis process in the PMBOK® Guide2. References: 1: PMI Risk Management Professional (PMI-RMP)® ExaminationContent Outline 2: A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide) - Sixth Edition