From the statistical distribution of bank losses over a future period, several conclusions can be drawn:
* I. In most years a bank would look more profitable than it will be on average: This indicates that most years will show better-than-average profitability because the distribution of losses includes infrequent but severe loss events.
* II. Most of the time a sufficiently well-capitalized bank will appear over-capitalized: Because banks prepare for rare but significant losses, in normal years, their capital reserves may seem excessive.
* III. Bad years do not come along very often, but when they do they lead to enormous losses: This reflects the heavy-tailed nature of the loss distribution, where extreme losses are rare but severe.
All three statements correctly reflect the characteristics of the loss distribution for banks.References: How Finance Works, sections covering statistical analysis of losses and capital adequacy.